Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets II: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets II?
Ludogorets II starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,629 vs 1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Ludogorets II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ludogorets II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Ludogorets II 2-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Ludogorets II 2-3 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-1 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Aug 28, 2020 | Ludogorets II 3-2 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets II on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Ludogorets II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets II sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ludogorets II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets II?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets II played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets II is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.