Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
The Footlab model makes Sportist Svoge the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Sportist Svoge (1,542) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportist Svoge have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sportist Svoge win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Sportist Svoge 0-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| May 3, 2025 | Sportist Svoge 3-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1-2 Sportist Svoge | Cup |
| May 15, 2021 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportist Svoge sit 16th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Sportist Svoge the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa.
- Where and when is Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa played?
- Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.