Montana vs Vihren: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Vihren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs Vihren?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Montana (1,626) and Vihren (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vihren have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vihren score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Vihren | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Vihren sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vihren | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs Vihren?
- The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Vihren.
- Where and when is Montana vs Vihren played?
- Montana vs Vihren is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsCSKA Sofia II
- Sep 5, 2026NesebarvsRilski Sportist
- Sep 5, 2026Spartak PlevenvsHebar 1918
- Sep 5, 2026DobrudzhavsBeroe
- Sep 5, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsLudogorets II
- Sep 5, 2026Yantra 2019vsMarek
- Sep 5, 2026Sportist SvogevsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Sep 5, 2026FratriavsChernomorets 1919 Burgas