Match

Montana vs Vihren: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana

MontanaVihren

The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Vihren. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montana vs Vihren?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Montana (1,626) and Vihren (1,716).

Montana win36 %
Draw29 %
Vihren win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vihren have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)1-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Marek(home)1-0Second League
Aug 11, 2026Yantra 2019(away)2-3Second League
Aug 4, 2026Nesebar(home)3-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)2-2Second League
Vihren
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Ludogorets II(away)2-0Second League
Aug 9, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)1-1Second League
Aug 2, 2026Hebar 1918(away)3-2Second League
Jul 28, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)1-1Second League
Jul 4, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vihren score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montana1.21.338/157/15
Vihren1.51.046/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Vihren sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Vihren4220748
8Montana5212987

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montana vs Vihren?
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Vihren.
Where and when is Montana vs Vihren played?
Montana vs Vihren is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Montana and Vihren

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