Spartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pleven Stadium, Pleven
The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Spartak Pleven (1,606) and Hebar 1918 (1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Pleven have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Hebar 1918 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Montana(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Spartak Pleven win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hebar 1918 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Hebar 1918 0-3 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Spartak Pleven 1-2 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Spartak Pleven 1-3 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Hebar 1918 3-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Hebar 1918 vs Spartak Pleven on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Pleven sit 7th in Second League (7 points from 4 matches) and Hebar 1918 sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Pleven | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Hebar 1918.
- Where and when is Spartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918 played?
- Spartak Pleven vs Hebar 1918 is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pleven Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsCSKA Sofia II
- Sep 5, 2026NesebarvsRilski Sportist
- Sep 5, 2026MontanavsVihren
- Sep 5, 2026DobrudzhavsBeroe
- Sep 5, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsLudogorets II
- Sep 5, 2026Yantra 2019vsMarek
- Sep 5, 2026Sportist SvogevsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Sep 5, 2026FratriavsChernomorets 1919 Burgas