EVV vs UDI '19: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), Echt-Susteren
The Footlab model makes UDI '19 the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for EVV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win EVV vs UDI '19?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate EVV (1,601) and UDI '19 (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, EVV have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; UDI '19 have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GOES(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 3-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | SteDoCo(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 3-4 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 9, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 EVV win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 UDI '19 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2022 | EVV 1-2 UDI '19 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 9, 2022 | UDI '19 2-0 EVV | Tweede Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
EVV score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; UDI '19 score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVV | 1.4 | 2.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| UDI '19 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
EVV sit 16th in Derde Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and UDI '19 sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UDI '19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | EVV | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for EVV vs UDI '19?
- The Footlab model makes UDI '19 the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for EVV.
- Where and when is EVV vs UDI '19 played?
- EVV vs UDI '19 is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark In de Bandert (EVV), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.