Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
The Footlab model makes Excelsior the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for GO Ahead Eagles. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Excelsior (1,932) and GO Ahead Eagles (1,955).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; GO Ahead Eagles have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFI(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Excelsior win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 GO Ahead Eagles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Excelsior 0-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Oct 26, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 2-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | GO Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Excelsior 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Excelsior 2-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2022 | GO Ahead Eagles 3-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; GO Ahead Eagles score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 2.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior sit 10th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and GO Ahead Eagles sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GO Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles?
- The Footlab model makes Excelsior the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for GO Ahead Eagles.
- Where and when is Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles played?
- Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.