Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab model makes Telstar the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Fortuna Sittard (1,880) and Telstar (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Telstar have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortuna Sittard win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Telstar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 1-4 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Telstar 1-3 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Feb 16, 2018 | Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 29, 2017 | Telstar 0-6 Fortuna Sittard | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 20, 2017 | Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 12, 2016 | Telstar 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Telstar score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Telstar | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 8th in Eredivisie (4 points from 3 matches) and Telstar sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?
- The Footlab model makes Telstar the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.