Twente vs Ajax: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Ajax. The most likely score is 1-1. If Twente wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs Ajax?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Twente (2,091) and Ajax (2,100).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Twente vs Ajax
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 10Y. Taha
- 7M. Pjaca
- 11D. Rots
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 29A. Adelgaard
- 1L. Unnerstall
Ajax
4-3-3- 10O. Gloukh
- 99T. Arokodare
- 11V. Tsygankov
- 8J. Brandt
- 24J. Mokio
- 4S. Amrabat
- 15Y. Baas
- 6T. Kehrer
- 2Lucas Rosa
- 5O. Wijndal
- 1M. ter Stegen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ajax have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Twente wins, 1 draw, 3 Ajax wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Ajax 0-1 Twente | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ajax 1-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Twente 2-3 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| May 18, 2025 | Ajax 2-0 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Twente 2-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Ajax 2-1 Twente | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax score 3.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ajax | 3.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente sit 4th in Eredivisie (17 points from 8 matches) and Ajax sit 5th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 15 |
A question about Twente vs Ajax?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs Ajax?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Ajax.
- Where and when is Twente vs Ajax played?
- Twente vs Ajax is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.