Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC Nijmegen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Utrecht (1,969) and NEC Nijmegen (1,984).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utrecht
3-4-3- 20D. de Wit
- 10Y. Cathline
- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 92A. Zagré
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 34D. van den Berg
- 8J. van Overeem
- 2S. Horemans
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 1V. Barkas
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 9T. Chery
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 10D. Tadić
- 21T. Storm
- 34Kevin Kers
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 4P. Schuurs
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 1G. Crettaz
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utrecht have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Utrecht wins, 0 draws, 2 NEC Nijmegen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Utrecht 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Utrecht 0-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 24, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Utrecht 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 23, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utrecht sit 13th in Eredivisie (8 points from 8 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 11th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
A question about Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Utrecht.
- Where and when is Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Galgenwaard, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.