Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
The Footlab AI model makes PEC Zwolle the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Willem II. The most likely score is 1-1. If PEC Zwolle wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Willem II (1,813) and PEC Zwolle (1,891).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 32V. van Crooij
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 18Anass Zarrouk
- 7J. Slory
- 5H. ter Avest
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Known absences
A. LachkarOut · Groin injury- J. HoogmaOut · Knee injury
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 17S. van Hooijdonk
- 11D. Mbayo
- 8T. Sommer
- 30R. Thomas
- 37Gilles van der Wal
- 25T. Oosting
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 33D. van der Haar
- 1J. Schendelaar
Known absences
F. KrastevOut · Achilles injury- G. RahajaänOut · Not in squad
S. FloranusOut · Injured
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Willem II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-7 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Willem II wins, 1 draw, 3 PEC Zwolle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2025 | Willem II 1-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Dec 13, 2024 | PEC Zwolle 0-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Willem II 2-3 PEC Zwolle | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 9, 2022 | PEC Zwolle 2-2 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 14, 2022 | PEC Zwolle 2-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Willem II 1-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Willem II vs PEC Zwolle on May 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Willem II score 1.3 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1.3 | 3.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Willem II sit 18th in Eredivisie (2 points from 11 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 14th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 11 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 2 |
A question about Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
- The Footlab AI model makes PEC Zwolle the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Willem II vs PEC Zwolle played?
- Willem II vs PEC Zwolle is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Koning Willem II Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.