Express vs Kataka: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab AI model makes Express the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Kataka. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Express vs Kataka?
On Elo ratings, Express has 1,356 points and Kataka 1,260.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Express vs Kataka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Express
Not enough data to predict the Express lineup.
Kataka
Not enough data to predict the Kataka lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Express have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kataka have 0, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Lugazi(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | UPDF(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | NEC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | SC Villa(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Maroons(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | KCCA(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Express score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kataka score 0.6 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Express | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Kataka | 0.6 | 2.4 | 1 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Express sit 14th in Premier League (5 points from 6 matches) and Kataka sit 17th (2 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Express | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | Kataka | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 2 |
A question about Express vs Kataka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Express vs Kataka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Express the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Kataka.
- Where and when is Express vs Kataka played?
- Express vs Kataka is played on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hamz Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.