KCCA vs Lugazi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)MTN Omondi Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab AI model makes KCCA the favourite at 73%, against 20% for a draw and 7% for Lugazi. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,905 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KCCA vs Lugazi?
KCCA starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (1,521 vs 1,271).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KCCA vs Lugazi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KCCA
Not enough data to predict the KCCA lineup.
Lugazi
Not enough data to predict the Lugazi lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KCCA have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lugazi have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ntugasaze(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | URA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kataka(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Kigezi HomeBoyz(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Express(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Maroons(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | NEC(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 KCCA wins, 2 draws, 0 Lugazi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Lugazi 0-3 KCCA | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2025 | KCCA 0-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| May 14, 2025 | KCCA 5-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Lugazi 1-1 KCCA | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
KCCA score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lugazi score 0.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCCA | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Lugazi | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KCCA sit 6th in Premier League (10 points from 6 matches) and Lugazi sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
A question about KCCA vs Lugazi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KCCA vs Lugazi?
- The Footlab AI model makes KCCA the favourite at 73%, against 20% for a draw and 7% for Lugazi.
- Where and when is KCCA vs Lugazi played?
- KCCA vs Lugazi is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at MTN Omondi Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.