Mbarara City vs Vipers: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kakyeka Stadium, Mbarara
The Footlab AI model makes Vipers the favourite at 69%, against 22% for a draw and 9% for Mbarara City. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbarara City vs Vipers?
Vipers is a heavy favourite: 1,648 Elo points against 1,279, a 369-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mbarara City vs Vipers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mbarara City
Not enough data to predict the Mbarara City lineup.
Vipers
4-1-4-1- 29M. Karisa
- 6S. Ssentamu
- 12Y. Sentamu
- 10B. Anukani
- 24O. Osomba
- 13M. Kizza
- 20A. Mandela
- 23I. Mubiru
- 4L. Mulondo
- 5M. Juuko
- 1F. Mutombora
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbarara City have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vipers have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Blacks Power(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ntugasaze(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NEC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Kataka(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maroons(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Blacks Power(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ntugasaze(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Nouadhibou(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mbarara City wins, 1 draw, 5 Vipers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mbarara City 1-2 Vipers | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Vipers 2-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Vipers 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Mbarara City 1-3 Vipers | Premier League |
| May 18, 2024 | Vipers 4-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Mbarara City 0-0 Vipers | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mbarara City vs Vipers on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mbarara City score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vipers score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara City | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Vipers | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbarara City sit 13th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and Vipers sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vipers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
A question about Mbarara City vs Vipers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbarara City vs Vipers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vipers the favourite at 69%, against 22% for a draw and 9% for Mbarara City.
- Where and when is Mbarara City vs Vipers played?
- Mbarara City vs Vipers is played on October 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kakyeka Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.