Match

Extremadura 1924 vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Extremadura 1924UD Logroñés

The Footlab model makes Extremadura 1924 the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for UD Logroñés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Extremadura 1924 vs UD Logroñés?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Extremadura 1924 (1,994) and UD Logroñés (2,042).

Extremadura 1924 win38 %
Draw29 %
UD Logroñés win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Extremadura 1924 have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; UD Logroñés have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Extremadura 1924
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026CD Coria(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Linares Deportivo(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026La Unión Atlético(home)4-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026Xerez(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Recreativo Huelva(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
UD Logroñés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Huesca II(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 21, 2026Mirandes(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Zaragoza(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026Huesca(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026SS Reyes(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Extremadura 1924 score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Extremadura 19241.70.878/158/15
UD Logroñés2.00.696/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Extremadura 1924 vs UD Logroñés?
The Footlab model makes Extremadura 1924 the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for UD Logroñés.
Where and when is Extremadura 1924 vs UD Logroñés played?
Extremadura 1924 vs UD Logroñés is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Extremadura 1924 and UD Logroñés

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