Paredes vs Pacos Ferreira: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes
The Footlab AI model makes Paredes the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Pacos Ferreira. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paredes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,065 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paredes vs Pacos Ferreira?
Paredes starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,839).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paredes vs Pacos Ferreira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paredes
4-3-3- 11F. Almara
- 7Miguel
- 14Erik
- 8Diogo Silva
- 10Daniel Rodrigues
- 6B. Val
- 3Dénis Duarte
- 13João Vigário
- 44Gustavo Fernandes
- 2P. Araujo
- 31Fábio Matos
Pacos Ferreira
4-2-3-1- 99Platiny
- 8Nuno Cunha
- 19Tomás Castro
- 6Tomás Podstawski
- 80Caio Rafael
- 10João Neto
- 33Rafael Vieira
- 22Junio Wesley
- 15Leandro Dias
- 2Tiago Mesquita
- 1Rafa
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 08:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paredes have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Pacos Ferreira have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Paredes win, 1 draw, 0 Pacos Ferreira wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira 0-1 Paredes | Liga 3 |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Paredes 1-1 Pacos Ferreira | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paredes score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pacos Ferreira score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paredes | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Pacos Ferreira | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paredes sit 1st in Liga 3 (13 points from 6 matches) and Pacos Ferreira sit 8th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Paredes vs Pacos Ferreira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paredes vs Pacos Ferreira?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paredes the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Pacos Ferreira.
- Where and when is Paredes vs Pacos Ferreira played?
- Paredes vs Pacos Ferreira is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal das Laranjeiras, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.