Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Vatani Stadium, Ghaemshahr
The Footlab model makes Nassaji Mazandaran the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Shams Azar Qazvin. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Nassaji Mazandaran (1,673) and Shams Azar Qazvin (1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nassaji Mazandaran have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Shams Azar Qazvin have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Esteghlal Khuzestan(away) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(home) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gol Gohar(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(home) | 1-2 | Azadegan League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Fard Alborz(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aluminium Arak(home) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Foolad FC(away) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Persepolis FC(home) | 0-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Foolad FC(home) | 0-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Fajr Sepasi(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Nassaji Mazandaran win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Shams Azar Qazvin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Dec 14, 2023 | Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1 Nassaji Mazandaran | Persian Gulf Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin on Feb 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nassaji Mazandaran score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shams Azar Qazvin score 0.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nassaji Mazandaran | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Shams Azar Qazvin | 0.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nassaji Mazandaran sit 15th in Persian Gulf Pro League (1 points from 3 matches) and Shams Azar Qazvin sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
- The Footlab model makes Nassaji Mazandaran the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Shams Azar Qazvin.
- Where and when is Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin played?
- Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Vatani Stadium, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026PaykanvsEsteghlal Khuzestan
- Aug 28, 2026Chadormalu SCvsTractor Sazi
- Aug 28, 2026Aluminium ArakvsKheybar Khorramabad
- Aug 28, 2026Sepahan FCvsGol Gohar
- Aug 28, 2026Foolad FCvsEsteghlal FC
- Aug 29, 2026Fajr SepasivsZOB Ahan
- Aug 29, 2026Mes Shahr-e BabakvsSanat Naft
- Aug 29, 2026Persepolis FCvsMalavan