Persepolis FC vs Malavan: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Azadi Stadium, Tehran
The Footlab model makes Persepolis FC the favourite at 53%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Malavan. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persepolis FC vs Malavan?
Persepolis FC starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persepolis FC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Malavan have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Esteghlal Khuzestan(home) | 4-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(away) | 2-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Kheybar Khorramabad(home) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Gol Gohar(away) | 1-3 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Malavan(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | ZOB Ahan(home) | 2-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanat Naft(away) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tractor Sazi(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Kheybar Khorramabad(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Persepolis FC(home) | 1-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Persepolis FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Malavan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Malavan 1-0 Persepolis FC | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Persepolis FC 0-0 Malavan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Persepolis FC 2-0 Malavan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Malavan 1-2 Persepolis FC | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Persepolis FC 1-0 Malavan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Malavan 0-0 Persepolis FC | Persian Gulf Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Malavan vs Persepolis FC on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persepolis FC score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Malavan score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persepolis FC | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Malavan | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persepolis FC sit 3rd in Persian Gulf Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Malavan sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Persepolis FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Malavan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persepolis FC vs Malavan?
- The Footlab model makes Persepolis FC the favourite at 53%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Malavan.
- Where and when is Persepolis FC vs Malavan played?
- Persepolis FC vs Malavan is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Azadi Stadium, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Chadormalu SCvsTractor Sazi
- Aug 28, 2026PaykanvsEsteghlal Khuzestan
- Aug 28, 2026Aluminium ArakvsKheybar Khorramabad
- Aug 28, 2026Nassaji MazandaranvsShams Azar Qazvin
- Aug 28, 2026Sepahan FCvsGol Gohar
- Aug 28, 2026Foolad FCvsEsteghlal FC
- Aug 29, 2026Fajr SepasivsZOB Ahan
- Aug 29, 2026Mes Shahr-e BabakvsSanat Naft