Foolad FC vs Esteghlal FC: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Shohadaye Foolad Khoozestan, Ahvaz
The Footlab model makes Esteghlal FC the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Foolad FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Foolad FC vs Esteghlal FC?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Foolad FC (1,804) and Esteghlal FC (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foolad FC have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Esteghlal FC have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sanat Naft(away) | 3-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ZOB Ahan(away) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(away) | 2-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | ZOB Ahan(home) | 2-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sepahan FC(home) | 2-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(away) | 1-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(home) | 4-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Fajr Sepasi(home) | 2-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Mes Rafsanjan(away) | 1-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Foolad FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Esteghlal FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Esteghlal FC 1-0 Foolad FC | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Esteghlal FC 0-1 Foolad FC | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Foolad FC 0-2 Esteghlal FC | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| May 13, 2024 | Esteghlal FC 1-0 Foolad FC | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Foolad FC 0-0 Esteghlal FC | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Foolad FC 0-2 Esteghlal FC | Persian Gulf Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Esteghlal FC vs Foolad FC on Nov 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Foolad FC score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Esteghlal FC score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foolad FC | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Esteghlal FC | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Foolad FC sit 6th in Persian Gulf Pro League (5 points from 3 matches) and Esteghlal FC sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esteghlal FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Foolad FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Foolad FC vs Esteghlal FC?
- The Footlab model makes Esteghlal FC the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Foolad FC.
- Where and when is Foolad FC vs Esteghlal FC played?
- Foolad FC vs Esteghlal FC is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Shohadaye Foolad Khoozestan, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026PaykanvsEsteghlal Khuzestan
- Aug 28, 2026Chadormalu SCvsTractor Sazi
- Aug 28, 2026Aluminium ArakvsKheybar Khorramabad
- Aug 28, 2026Nassaji MazandaranvsShams Azar Qazvin
- Aug 28, 2026Sepahan FCvsGol Gohar
- Aug 29, 2026Fajr SepasivsZOB Ahan
- Aug 29, 2026Mes Shahr-e BabakvsSanat Naft
- Aug 29, 2026Persepolis FCvsMalavan