Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Imam Khomeini Stadium, Arak
The Footlab model makes Aluminium Arak the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Kheybar Khorramabad. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Aluminium Arak (1,704) and Kheybar Khorramabad (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aluminium Arak have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Kheybar Khorramabad have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(away) | 2-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chadormalu SC(home) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Esteghlal Khuzestan(away) | 2-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Paykan(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(away) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Paykan(home) | 2-3 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mes Shahr-e Babak(away) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fajr Sepasi(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Chadormalu SC(home) | 0-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Persepolis FC(away) | 2-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aluminium Arak win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kheybar Khorramabad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Kheybar Khorramabad 2-2 Aluminium Arak | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Aluminium Arak 0-1 Kheybar Khorramabad | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Kheybar Khorramabad 1-0 Aluminium Arak | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Aluminium Arak 1-0 Kheybar Khorramabad | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Kheybar Khorramabad 1-3 Aluminium Arak | Azadegan League |
| Sep 2, 2016 | Aluminium Arak 1-0 Kheybar Khorramabad | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Kheybar Khorramabad vs Aluminium Arak on Jan 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aluminium Arak score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kheybar Khorramabad score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminium Arak | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Kheybar Khorramabad | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aluminium Arak sit 4th in Persian Gulf Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kheybar Khorramabad sit 11th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aluminium Arak | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
- The Footlab model makes Aluminium Arak the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Kheybar Khorramabad.
- Where and when is Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad played?
- Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at Imam Khomeini Stadium, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026PaykanvsEsteghlal Khuzestan
- Aug 28, 2026Chadormalu SCvsTractor Sazi
- Aug 28, 2026Nassaji MazandaranvsShams Azar Qazvin
- Aug 28, 2026Sepahan FCvsGol Gohar
- Aug 28, 2026Foolad FCvsEsteghlal FC
- Aug 29, 2026Fajr SepasivsZOB Ahan
- Aug 29, 2026Mes Shahr-e BabakvsSanat Naft
- Aug 29, 2026Persepolis FCvsMalavan