Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, Teheran
The Footlab model makes Paykan the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Esteghlal Khuzestan. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Paykan (1,681) and Esteghlal Khuzestan (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paykan have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Esteghlal Khuzestan have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Kheybar Khorramabad(away) | 3-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gol Gohar(home) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tractor Sazi(away) | 0-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Sepahan FC(home) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Aluminium Arak(away) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Persepolis FC(away) | 1-4 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aluminium Arak(home) | 0-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Sepahan FC(away) | 1-3 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Fajr Sepasi(home) | 1-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Paykan win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 Paykan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Paykan 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Paykan | Hazfi Cup |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Paykan 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Paykan | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Paykan 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan | Hazfi Cup |
Last archived meeting: Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paykan score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Esteghlal Khuzestan score 0.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paykan | 0.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Esteghlal Khuzestan | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paykan sit 9th in Persian Gulf Pro League (4 points from 3 matches) and Esteghlal Khuzestan sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Paykan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
- The Footlab model makes Paykan the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Esteghlal Khuzestan.
- Where and when is Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan played?
- Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Chadormalu SCvsTractor Sazi
- Aug 28, 2026Nassaji MazandaranvsShams Azar Qazvin
- Aug 28, 2026Aluminium ArakvsKheybar Khorramabad
- Aug 28, 2026Sepahan FCvsGol Gohar
- Aug 28, 2026Foolad FCvsEsteghlal FC
- Aug 29, 2026Fajr SepasivsZOB Ahan
- Aug 29, 2026Mes Shahr-e BabakvsSanat Naft
- Aug 29, 2026Persepolis FCvsMalavan