Farnham Town vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Memorial Ground Farnham, Farnham, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farnham Town vs Dorking Wanderers?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Farnham Town (1,899) and Dorking Wanderers (1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnham Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Farnham Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dorking Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Farnham Town 2-2 Dorking Wanderers | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Farnham Town vs Dorking Wanderers on Aug 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnham Town | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farnham Town sit 19th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 19 | Farnham Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farnham Town vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Dorking Wanderers.
- Where and when is Farnham Town vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Farnham Town vs Dorking Wanderers is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Memorial Ground Farnham, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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