Fazendense vs Os Marialvas: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 6Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Os Marialvas the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Fazendense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Os Marialvas wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fazendense vs Os Marialvas?
Os Marialvas starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fazendense vs Os Marialvas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fazendense
Not enough data to predict the Fazendense lineup.
Os Marialvas
Not enough data to predict the Os Marialvas lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Fazendense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Os Marialvas have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Alverca II(away) | 0-5 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ginásio Figueirense(home) | 6-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | O Elvas(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Nazarenos(away) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fátima(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 30, 2026 | AD Fornos Algodres(away) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Fazendense score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 11; Os Marialvas score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fazendense | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 6/11 | 8/11 |
| Os Marialvas | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fazendense sit 13th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (1 point from 4 matches) and Os Marialvas sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 | Fazendense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
A question about Fazendense vs Os Marialvas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fazendense vs Os Marialvas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Os Marialvas the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Fazendense.
- Where and when is Fazendense vs Os Marialvas played?
- Fazendense vs Os Marialvas is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.