FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld, Jena
The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Luckenwalde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Luckenwalde 1-1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Luckenwalde 0-1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 1, 2024 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Luckenwalde 0-3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 2, 2023 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th in Regionalliga - Nordost (9 points from 5 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde?
- The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde played?
- FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027FSV ZwickauvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Apr 18, 2027Hallescher FCvsErzgebirge Aue
- Apr 18, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsBFC Dynamo
- Apr 18, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsTasmania Berlin
- Apr 18, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Apr 18, 2027AltglienickevsBFC Preussen
- Apr 18, 2027RSV EintrachtvsHertha BSC II
- Apr 18, 2027Greifswalder FCvsMagdeburg II