Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Leuna Chemie Stadion, Saale
The Footlab model makes Hallescher FC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Hallescher FC starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hallescher FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 2-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hallescher FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Erzgebirge Aue win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Hallescher FC 2-3 Erzgebirge Aue | 3. Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Erzgebirge Aue 3-1 Hallescher FC | 3. Liga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Hallescher FC 5-2 Erzgebirge Aue | 3. Liga |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 Hallescher FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 Hallescher FC | 3. Liga |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Erzgebirge Aue 6-0 Hallescher FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hallescher FC score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallescher FC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 2.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hallescher FC sit 11th in Regionalliga - Nordost (6 points from 5 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Hallescher FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue?
- The Footlab model makes Hallescher FC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Erzgebirge Aue.
- Where and when is Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue played?
- Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Leuna Chemie Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 18, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsLuckenwalde
- Apr 18, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsBFC Dynamo
- Apr 18, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsTasmania Berlin
- Apr 18, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Apr 18, 2027AltglienickevsBFC Preussen
- Apr 18, 2027RSV EintrachtvsHertha BSC II
- Apr 18, 2027Greifswalder FCvsMagdeburg II