Match

Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 30Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Leuna Chemie Stadion, Saale

Hallescher FCErzgebirge Aue

The Footlab model makes Hallescher FC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Hallescher FC starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,840).

Hallescher FC win53 %
Draw24 %
Erzgebirge Aue win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hallescher FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hallescher FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-5DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Altglienicke(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Chemnitzer FC(home)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Erzgebirge Aue
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 22, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)0-4DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026BFC Preussen(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026BFC Dynamo(home)3-2Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hallescher FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Erzgebirge Aue win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 11, 2024Hallescher FC 2-3 Erzgebirge Aue3. Liga
Sep 17, 2023Erzgebirge Aue 3-1 Hallescher FC3. Liga
Apr 8, 2023Hallescher FC 5-2 Erzgebirge Aue3. Liga
Dec 11, 2022Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 Hallescher FCFriendlies Clubs
Oct 14, 2022Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 Hallescher FC3. Liga
Sep 4, 2021Erzgebirge Aue 6-0 Hallescher FCFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue on Feb 11, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Hallescher FC score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hallescher FC1.51.658/158/15
Erzgebirge Aue2.41.759/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hallescher FC sit 11th in Regionalliga - Nordost (6 points from 5 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Erzgebirge Aue531111910
11Hallescher FC5131556

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The Footlab model makes Hallescher FC the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Erzgebirge Aue.
Where and when is Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue played?
Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Leuna Chemie Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hallescher FC and Erzgebirge Aue

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