FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes FC Eindhoven the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Jong PSV U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate FC Eindhoven (1,633) and Jong PSV U21 (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Eindhoven have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Jong PSV U21 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Eindhoven win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Jong PSV U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Jong PSV U21 1-2 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 5, 2025 | FC Eindhoven 4-0 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Jong PSV U21 0-2 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 29, 2024 | FC Eindhoven 1-0 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 12, 2024 | FC Eindhoven 2-5 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Jong PSV U21 3-4 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong PSV U21 vs FC Eindhoven on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Eindhoven score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Jong PSV U21 score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Jong PSV U21 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Eindhoven sit 15th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Jong PSV U21 sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21?
- The Footlab model makes FC Eindhoven the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Jong PSV U21.
- Where and when is FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 played?
- FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Louwers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.