Almere City FC vs Roda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Yanmar Stadion, Almere
The Footlab model makes Almere City FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Roda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Roda?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Almere City FC (1,781) and Roda (1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almere City FC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Roda have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 8-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almere City FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Roda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Almere City FC 1-2 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Roda 2-0 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Roda 0-2 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Almere City FC 2-1 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 14, 2022 | Almere City FC 0-4 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Roda 3-4 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Almere City FC vs Roda on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almere City FC score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Roda score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Roda | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almere City FC sit 4th in Eerste Divisie (7 points from 3 matches) and Roda sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Roda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Roda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almere City FC vs Roda?
- The Footlab model makes Almere City FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Roda.
- Where and when is Almere City FC vs Roda played?
- Almere City FC vs Roda is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Yanmar Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.