FC Gifu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nagaragawa Stadium, Gifu
The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gifu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate FC Gifu (1,739) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gifu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toyama Shinjo(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kochi United(home) | 7-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 3-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tohoku Gakuin University(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sagamihara(home) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Gifu win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-1 FC Gifu | J2/J3 League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | FC Gifu 2-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
| May 3, 2025 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-1 FC Gifu | J3 League |
| Jul 30, 2017 | FC Gifu 2-0 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2 League |
| May 3, 2017 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-2 FC Gifu | J2 League |
| Nov 3, 2016 | FC Gifu 2-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs FC Gifu on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gifu score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gifu | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gifu sit 1st in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gifu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 20 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gifu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gifu the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
- Where and when is FC Gifu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?
- FC Gifu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nagaragawa Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 25, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsFukushima United
- Nov 25, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsGainare Tottori
- Nov 25, 2026KitakyushuvsKanazawa
- Nov 25, 2026FC RyukyuvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Nov 25, 2026Parceiro NaganovsKagoshima United
- Nov 25, 2026SagamiharavsEhime FC
- Nov 25, 2026Biwako ShigavsKochi United
- Nov 25, 2026Nara ClubvsMatsumoto Yamaga