Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(away) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Kagoshima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | Kagoshima United 6-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Parceiro Nagano 1-3 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Kagoshima United 1-2 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Parceiro Nagano 1-2 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Kagoshima United 4-1 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Parceiro Nagano 2-1 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Parceiro Nagano on Aug 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United played?
- Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 25, 2026FC GifuvsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Nov 25, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsFukushima United
- Nov 25, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsGainare Tottori
- Nov 25, 2026KitakyushuvsKanazawa
- Nov 25, 2026FC RyukyuvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Nov 25, 2026SagamiharavsEhime FC
- Nov 25, 2026Biwako ShigavsKochi United
- Nov 25, 2026Nara ClubvsMatsumoto Yamaga