Match

Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano

Parceiro NaganoKagoshima United

The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kagoshima United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United?

Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,875 vs 1,644).

20%24%56%
Parceiro Nagano winDrawKagoshima United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Parceiro Nagano

4-3-3
  1. 18S. Yoshizawa
  2. 19H. Shoji
  3. 11K. Shin
  1. 28K. Fujikawa
  2. 8T. Kondo
  3. 40Y. Hasegawa
  1. 13Y. Tsukegi
  2. 26Shunki Nakata
  3. 7Y. Ono
  4. 24Zen Watanabe
  1. 21K. Nakano

Kagoshima United

4-3-3
  1. 9R. Arita
  2. 22Aura Takahashi
  3. 18K. Kawamura
  1. 14K. Yoshio
  2. 7W. Tanaka
  3. 8K. Fujimura
  1. 35G. Egawa
  2. 44Yoshitaka Aoki
  3. 2R. Saga
  4. 5Y. Yamada
  1. 31D. Sakata

Computed on October 30, 2026 at 05:49 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kagoshima United have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parceiro Nagano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Kitakyushu(away)1-3J3 League
Oct 21, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)0-1J3 League
Oct 18, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)2-1J3 League
Oct 10, 2026Kochi United(away)3-1J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Nara Club(home)0-1J3 League
Kagoshima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Osaka(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Kochi United(home)3-1J3 League
Oct 17, 2026Ehime FC(home)4-2J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)0-1J3 League
Oct 7, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)0-2Emperor Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Parceiro Nagano wins, 0 draws, 4 Kagoshima United wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2025Kagoshima United 6-0 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Apr 6, 2025Parceiro Nagano 1-3 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Aug 13, 2023Kagoshima United 1-2 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Jun 18, 2023Parceiro Nagano 1-2 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Oct 1, 2022Kagoshima United 4-1 Parceiro NaganoJ3 League
Apr 29, 2022Parceiro Nagano 2-1 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Parceiro Nagano on Aug 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Parceiro Nagano score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Parceiro Nagano1.21.739/158/15
Kagoshima United1.91.3210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Parceiro Nagano sit 11th in J3 League (17 points from 13 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 1st (29 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Kagoshima United13922271629
11Parceiro Nagano13526171917

A question about Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United?
The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United played?
Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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