Match

Osaka vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

OsakaTochigi SC

The Footlab AI model makes Osaka the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Tochigi SC. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,750 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Tochigi SC?

On Elo ratings, Osaka has 1,795 points and Tochigi SC 1,734.

57%25%18%
Osaka winDrawTochigi SC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Osaka vs Tochigi SC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Osaka

4-3-3
  1. 10R. Kubo
  2. 9T. Shimada
  3. 28T. Toya
  1. 14S. Sumida
  2. 11G. Yoshida
  3. 17S. Morimura
  1. 5Y. Minakuchi
  2. 2K. Sakamoto
  3. 25Riku Kuwako
  4. 6S. Tachino
  1. 1H. Sugawara

Tochigi SC

4-3-3
  1. 10T. Igarashi
  2. 9Y. Kondo
  3. 25T. Yamaguchi
  1. 15Haruki Tsutsumi
  2. 17K. Sugimori
  3. 11T. Aoshima
  1. 3R. Higashi
  2. 26Tomoki Tabata
  3. 37Yuto Kimura
  4. 6K. Abe
  1. 41R. Tashiro

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 10:25 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tochigi SC have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)2-1J3 League
Oct 31, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-1J3 League
Oct 24, 2026Kagoshima United(home)2-1J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Nara Club(home)2-0J3 League
Oct 17, 2026Kitakyushu(away)1-3J3 League
Tochigi SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Fukushima United(home)0-0J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Ehime FC(home)2-0J3 League
Oct 24, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)1-0J3 League
Oct 17, 2026FC Ryukyu(away)0-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Osaka wins, 0 draws, 2 Tochigi SC wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2025Osaka 0-1 Tochigi SCJ3 League
Mar 16, 2025Tochigi SC 1-0 OsakaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Osaka vs Tochigi SC on Oct 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Osaka1.50.958/159/15
Tochigi SC0.81.266/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 6th in J3 League (26 points from 15 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 13th (18 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Osaka15753251526
13Tochigi SC15465141618

A question about Osaka vs Tochigi SC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Tochigi SC?
The Footlab AI model makes Osaka the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Tochigi SC.
Where and when is Osaka vs Tochigi SC played?
Osaka vs Tochigi SC is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Osaka and Tochigi SC

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