Where and when is Osaka vs Tochigi SC played?

Osaka vs Tochigi SC is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Osaka vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

Osaka

Tochigi SC

The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tochigi SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Tochigi SC?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Osaka (1,716) and Tochigi SC (1,729).

Osaka win40 %

Draw28 %

Tochigi SC win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Tochigi SC have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Nara Club(away)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	4-2	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-1	J3 League

Tochigi SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Urayasu(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	3-2	J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Osaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tochigi SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 24, 2025	Osaka 0-1 Tochigi SC	J3 League
Mar 16, 2025	Tochigi SC 1-0 Osaka	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Osaka vs Tochigi SC on Oct 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Osaka	1.6	1.5	1	12/15	9/15
Tochigi SC	1.0	1.2	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Osaka	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
8	Tochigi SC	3	1	2	0	5	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Tochigi SC?: The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tochigi SC.
Where and when is Osaka vs Tochigi SC played?: Osaka vs Tochigi SC is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.