Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fukushima United played?

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fukushima United is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi

Renofa Yamaguchi

Fukushima United

The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fukushima United?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717) and Fukushima United (1,673).

Renofa Yamaguchi win54 %

Draw24 %

Fukushima United win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renofa Yamaguchi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nara Club(away)	1-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

Fukushima United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	0-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Oyama(home)	7-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kanazawa(away)	3-4	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	1-2	J3 League

How many goals should we expect?

Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Renofa Yamaguchi	1.5	1.5	2	11/15	9/15
Fukushima United	1.8	1.7	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Fukushima United sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Renofa Yamaguchi	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
19	Fukushima United	3	0	0	3	5	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fukushima United?: The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Fukushima United.
Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fukushima United played?: Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fukushima United is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.