FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Minsk, Minsk
The Footlab model makes Slavia Mozyr the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for FC Minsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate FC Minsk (1,651) and Slavia Mozyr (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Minsk have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Slavia Mozyr have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Neman(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gomel(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Volna(away) | 5-0 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Minsk win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Slavia Mozyr win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr 1-2 FC Minsk | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | FC Minsk 1-3 Slavia Mozyr | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Slavia Mozyr 2-3 FC Minsk | Premier League |
| Jun 27, 2025 | FC Minsk 2-2 Slavia Mozyr | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | FC Minsk 1-1 Slavia Mozyr | Premier League |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Slavia Mozyr 1-1 FC Minsk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Mozyr score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Minsk | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Slavia Mozyr | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Minsk sit 7th in Premier League (28 points from 19 matches) and Slavia Mozyr sit 10th (22 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Minsk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Mozyr the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for FC Minsk.
- Where and when is FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr played?
- FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Minsk, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.