Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 11Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Lokomotive Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 5, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-2 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 18, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-4 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 13, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Lokomotive Leipzig.
- Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?
- Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Sep 27, 2026Hallescher FCvsBFC Preussen
- Sep 27, 2026BFC DynamovsGreifswalder FC
- Sep 27, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsFSV Zwickau
- Sep 27, 2026LuckenwaldevsSV Babelsberg 03
- Sep 27, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Sep 27, 2026RSV EintrachtvsChemnitzer FC
- Sep 27, 2026Magdeburg IIvsAltglienicke