FCI Levadia II vs Flora II: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Maarjamäe Staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Flora II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for FCI Levadia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FCI Levadia II vs Flora II?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate FCI Levadia II (1,333) and Flora II (1,391).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCI Levadia II have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Flora II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 2-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elva(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 5-0 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FCI Levadia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Flora II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Flora II 0-4 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 5, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 1-3 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Flora II 5-0 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 18, 2025 | FCI Levadia II 1-2 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| May 8, 2025 | FCI Levadia II 0-2 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Flora II 2-0 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Flora II vs FCI Levadia II on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FCI Levadia II score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Flora II score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCI Levadia II | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Flora II | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FCI Levadia II sit 9th in Esiliiga A (15 points from 16 matches) and Flora II sit 3rd (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flora II | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Flora II | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 57 | 42 | 40 |
| 6 | FCI Levadia II | 25 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 48 | 34 |
| 9 | FCI Levadia II | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FCI Levadia II vs Flora II?
- The Footlab model makes Flora II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for FCI Levadia II.
- Where and when is FCI Levadia II vs Flora II played?
- FCI Levadia II vs Flora II is played on September 5, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Maarjamäe Staadion, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.