FCI Levadia II vs Maardu: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Maarjamäe Staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes FCI Levadia II the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Maardu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FCI Levadia II vs Maardu?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate FCI Levadia II (1,313) and Maardu (1,411).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FCI Levadia II have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Maardu have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 2-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elva(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Elva(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 4-1 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FCI Levadia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Maardu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 1-2 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Maardu 3-2 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Maardu 2-3 FCI Levadia II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 23, 2021 | FCI Levadia II 0-4 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 3, 2021 | Maardu 3-1 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| May 6, 2021 | FCI Levadia II 0-5 Maardu | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: FCI Levadia II vs Maardu on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FCI Levadia II score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maardu score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCI Levadia II | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Maardu | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FCI Levadia II sit 9th in Esiliiga A (15 points from 16 matches) and Maardu sit 8th (16 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Maardu | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 52 | 35 |
| 7 | FCI Levadia II | 25 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 48 | 34 |
| 8 | Maardu | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
| 9 | FCI Levadia II | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FCI Levadia II vs Maardu?
- The Footlab model makes FCI Levadia II the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Maardu.
- Where and when is FCI Levadia II vs Maardu played?
- FCI Levadia II vs Maardu is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Maarjamäe Staadion, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.