Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Sparta Rotterdam starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambuur have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cambuur win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sparta Rotterdam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam 4-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Cambuur 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Cambuur 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2019 | Cambuur 3-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs Cambuur on May 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Cambuur score 1.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambuur sit 18th in Eredivisie (0 points from 3 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kooi Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.