Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sparta Rotterdam wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Cambuur (1,803) and Sparta Rotterdam (1,883).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cambuur
4-2-3-1- 33M. Maertens
- 8N. Souren
- 10R. El Arguioui
- 11I. Hamache
- 15F. Kvam
- 17Ethan Apkakou
- 4I. Baouf
- 28M. Costarelli
- 14B. van Duijl
- 2D. Bouah
- 1T. Jansen
Sparta Rotterdam
4-1-4-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 6N. Verschuren
- 11I. Babadi
- 8J. Toornstra
- 16J. Baas
- 17C. Terho
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 1M. Brouwer
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambuur have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cambuur win, 2 draws, 3 Sparta Rotterdam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam 4-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Cambuur 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Cambuur 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2019 | Cambuur 3-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs Cambuur on May 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Cambuur score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambuur sit 12th in Eredivisie (8 points from 8 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 14th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- Cambuur vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kooi Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.