Groningen vs Willem II: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Euroborg, Groningen
The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Willem II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groningen vs Willem II?
Groningen starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groningen vs Willem II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groningen
4-2-3-1- 9B. Willumsson
- 24P. Clement
- 8T. de Jonge
- 26T. van Bergen
- 17D. van der Werff
- 11J. Ondrejka
- 3T. Blokzijl
- 14J. Schreuders
- 5M. Rente
- 33H. Hateboer
- 1E. Vaessen
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 7J. Slory
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 52T. Vilhena
- 32V. van Crooij
- 6C. Twigt
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 5H. ter Avest
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groningen have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Willem II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Groningen wins, 2 draws, 0 Willem II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Willem II 1-3 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Groningen 2-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Willem II 1-1 Groningen | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Willem II 1-3 Groningen | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Groningen 0-0 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Groningen 1-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Willem II vs Groningen on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Groningen score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groningen sit 7th in Eredivisie (14 points from 9 matches) and Willem II sit 18th (2 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 14 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 2 |
A question about Groningen vs Willem II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groningen vs Willem II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Groningen vs Willem II played?
- Groningen vs Willem II is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Euroborg, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.