Feyenoord vs Willem II: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Willem II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Willem II?
Feyenoord is a heavy favourite: 2,151 Elo points against 1,785, a 366-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Feyenoord vs Willem II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Feyenoord
4-3-3- 10L. Valente
- 23A. Hadj-Moussa
- 19Nacho Ferri
- 8G. Zechiël
- 34C. Vanhoutte
- 28O. Targhalline
- 35Mika Màrmol
- 26G. Read
- 6J. St. Juste
- 16Javi López
- 1T. Ernst
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 7J. Slory
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 52T. Vilhena
- 32V. van Crooij
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 5H. ter Avest
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Feyenoord have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Willem II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Como(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 5-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 7-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Feyenoord wins, 2 draws, 0 Willem II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Willem II 1-1 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Feyenoord 1-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Feyenoord 2-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Willem II 0-4 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Feyenoord 5-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Willem II 1-4 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Willem II vs Feyenoord on Jan 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Feyenoord score 3.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 3.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Feyenoord sit 1st in Eredivisie (20 points from 8 matches) and Willem II sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 20 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 2 |
A question about Feyenoord vs Willem II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Feyenoord vs Willem II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Feyenoord vs Willem II played?
- Feyenoord vs Willem II is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Feijenoord, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.