Excelsior vs Cambuur: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior vs Cambuur?
Excelsior starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior vs Cambuur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior
4-3-3- 19D. Garden
- 30Á. Þorsteinsson
- 7A. Sliti
- 3R. Meissen
- 20L. Hartjes
- 8I. Yegoian
- 14J. Plug
- 4C. Widell
- 2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
- 15S. Janssen
- 1S. van Gassel
Cambuur
4-2-3-1- 33M. Maertens
- 8N. Souren
- 10R. El Arguioui
- 11I. Hamache
- 15F. Kvam
- 17Ethan Apkakou
- 4I. Baouf
- 28M. Costarelli
- 14B. van Duijl
- 2D. Bouah
- 1T. Jansen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cambuur have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Excelsior wins, 0 draws, 2 Cambuur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambuur 0-4 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Excelsior 3-2 Cambuur | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Cambuur 0-1 Excelsior | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Cambuur 1-0 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Excelsior 0-1 Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Excelsior 4-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cambuur score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Cambuur | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior sit 9th in Eredivisie (11 points from 8 matches) and Cambuur sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Excelsior vs Cambuur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior vs Cambuur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Excelsior vs Cambuur played?
- Excelsior vs Cambuur is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.