Utrecht vs Feyenoord: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
The Footlab model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utrecht vs Feyenoord?
Feyenoord starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (2,117 vs 1,995).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utrecht have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Feyenoord have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 5-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Utrecht win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Feyenoord win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Utrecht 0-1 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Feyenoord 3-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Feyenoord 1-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Utrecht 0-2 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Feyenoord 2-1 Utrecht | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
Utrecht score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Feyenoord score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Feyenoord | 2.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utrecht sit 15th in Eredivisie (1 points from 3 matches) and Feyenoord sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utrecht vs Feyenoord?
- The Footlab model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Utrecht.
- Where and when is Utrecht vs Feyenoord played?
- Utrecht vs Feyenoord is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Galgenwaard, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.