Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Telstar. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar starts as the favourite with a 244-point Elo edge (2,133 vs 1,889).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Telstar
3-4-2-1- 9Jelani Seedorf
- 10T. Owusu
- 7Rui Mendes
- 27P. Brouwer
- 17N. Rossen
- 3Gerald Alders
- 2J. Hardeveld
- 43M. Peersman
- 4A. Soualhia
- 16S. Valk
- 1R. Koeman
AZ Alkmaar
4-3-3- 11R. Daal
- 9M. Meerdink
- 24A. Oufkir
- 6P. Koopmeiners
- 14C. Stengs
- 21D. Kwakman
- 3W. Goes
- 4L. Schouten
- 22E. Dijkstra
- 5M. Chávez
- 28J. De Busser
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Telstar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; AZ Alkmaar have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Telstar wins, 0 draws, 4 AZ Alkmaar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| Mar 4, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar | KNVB Beker |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Telstar 0-1 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Oct 5, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Telstar score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Alkmaar score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Telstar sit 15th in Eredivisie (6 points from 8 matches) and AZ Alkmaar sit 3rd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar?
- The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Telstar.
- Where and when is Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar played?
- Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 711 Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.