Heerenveen vs Utrecht: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heerenveen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heerenveen vs Utrecht?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Heerenveen (1,979) and Utrecht (1,985).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heerenveen vs Utrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 20J. Trenskow
- 7M. Rivera
- 8N. Courtens
- 14L. Smans
- 16M. Linday
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 3M. Willemsen
- 45O. Braude
- 1B. Klaverboer
Utrecht
3-4-3- 20D. de Wit
- 10Y. Cathline
- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 92A. Zagré
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 8J. van Overeem
- 38O. Agougil
- 2S. Horemans
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 1V. Barkas
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heerenveen have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Utrecht have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Heerenveen wins, 3 draws, 3 Utrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Utrecht 3-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Heerenveen 1-1 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Utrecht 2-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Utrecht 2-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Heerenveen 1-1 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Heerenveen 2-3 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Utrecht vs Heerenveen on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heerenveen score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 2.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heerenveen sit 8th in Eredivisie (12 points from 9 matches) and Utrecht sit 11th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 26 | 11 |
A question about Heerenveen vs Utrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs Utrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Utrecht.
- Where and when is Heerenveen vs Utrecht played?
- Heerenveen vs Utrecht is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Abe Lenstra Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.