NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (2,036 vs 1,878).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEC Nijmegen
3-1-4-2- 30B. Linssen
- 14K. Sierhuis
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 20N. Lebreton
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 9T. Chery
- 35Jamiro Monteiro
- 22A. Kaplan
- 4P. Schuurs
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 1G. Crettaz
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 17S. van Hooijdonk
- 11D. Mbayo
- 8T. Sommer
- 30R. Thomas
- 37Gilles van der Wal
- 25T. Oosting
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 33D. van der Haar
- 1J. Schendelaar
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 NEC Nijmegen wins, 1 draw, 0 PEC Zwolle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | PEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 2-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 2-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 0-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 4-3 PEC Zwolle | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 24, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 1-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 13th in Eredivisie (11 points from 11 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 14th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 11 |
A question about NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.