Fiorentino vs Tre Fiori: prediction and stats
Coppa TitanoRound of 16Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini, Fiorentino
The Footlab model makes Tre Fiori the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Fiorentino. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiorentino vs Tre Fiori?
Tre Fiori starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,393 vs 1,138).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentino have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Tre Fiori have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 3-2 | Campionato |
| May 2, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 25, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Murata(away) | 4-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Drita(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Drita(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Larne(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fiorentino win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tre Fiori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Fiorentino 0-2 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Tre Fiori 2-0 Fiorentino | Campionato |
| May 7, 2025 | Fiorentino 0-2 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| May 4, 2025 | Tre Fiori 3-1 Fiorentino | Campionato |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Fiorentino 1-1 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Tre Fiori 1-2 Fiorentino | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Fiorentino vs Tre Fiori on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorentino score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tre Fiori score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentino | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Tre Fiori | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiorentino vs Tre Fiori?
- The Footlab model makes Tre Fiori the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Fiorentino.
- Where and when is Fiorentino vs Tre Fiori played?
- Fiorentino vs Tre Fiori is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini, in the Coppa Titano.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.