Domagnano vs Faetano: prediction and stats
Coppa TitanoRound of 16Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio di Domagnano, Domagnano
The Footlab model makes Domagnano the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Faetano. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Domagnano vs Faetano?
Domagnano starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,179 vs 959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Domagnano have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Faetano have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 1-3 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| May 9, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| May 5, 2026 | Folgore(away) | 3-1 | Campionato |
| May 2, 2026 | Folgore(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Fiorentino(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | San Giovanni(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Domagnano win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Faetano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Faetano 0-1 Domagnano | Campionato |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Domagnano 4-1 Faetano | Campionato |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Domagnano 2-3 Faetano | Campionato |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Faetano 1-1 Domagnano | Campionato |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Faetano 0-1 Domagnano | Campionato |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Domagnano 3-4 Faetano | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Domagnano score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Faetano score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domagnano | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Faetano | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Domagnano vs Faetano?
- The Footlab model makes Domagnano the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Faetano.
- Where and when is Domagnano vs Faetano played?
- Domagnano vs Faetano is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Domagnano, in the Coppa Titano.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.