Pennarossa vs Cailungo: prediction and stats
Coppa TitanoRound of 16Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova, Chiesanuova
The Footlab model makes Pennarossa the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Cailungo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pennarossa vs Cailungo?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Pennarossa (959) and Cailungo (863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pennarossa have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Cailungo have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Cailungo(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | San Marino Academy(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 1-6 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 1-6 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Pennarossa(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pennarossa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cailungo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Cailungo 1-2 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Pennarossa 2-0 Cailungo | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Cailungo 7-0 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Pennarossa 0-4 Cailungo | Campionato |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Pennarossa 0-2 Cailungo | Campionato |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Cailungo 0-0 Pennarossa | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Cailungo vs Pennarossa on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pennarossa score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cailungo score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pennarossa | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Cailungo | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pennarossa vs Cailungo?
- The Footlab model makes Pennarossa the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Cailungo.
- Where and when is Pennarossa vs Cailungo played?
- Pennarossa vs Cailungo is played on September 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova, in the Coppa Titano.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.