San Giovanni vs Cosmos: prediction and stats
Coppa TitanoRound of 16Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, Borgo Maggiore
The Footlab model makes Cosmos the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for San Giovanni. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Giovanni vs Cosmos?
Cosmos starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,232 vs 1,127).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Giovanni have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cosmos have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 0-4 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Tre Penne(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| May 3, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Pennarossa(home) | 3-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 1-3 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 San Giovanni win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Cosmos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Cosmos 1-0 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Cosmos 0-2 San Giovanni | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 3, 2025 | San Giovanni 0-3 Cosmos | Campionato |
| Sep 23, 2025 | San Giovanni 0-2 Cosmos | Coppa Titano |
| May 17, 2025 | Cosmos 4-2 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Mar 15, 2025 | San Giovanni 2-0 Cosmos | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Cosmos vs San Giovanni on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Giovanni score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cosmos score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Giovanni | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Cosmos | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Giovanni vs Cosmos?
- The Footlab model makes Cosmos the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for San Giovanni.
- Where and when is San Giovanni vs Cosmos played?
- San Giovanni vs Cosmos is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, in the Coppa Titano.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.