Where and when is Ural vs Veles played?

Ural vs Veles is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ekaterinburg Arena, in the First League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ural vs Veles: prediction and stats

First LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ekaterinburg Arena, Ekaterinburg

Ural

Veles

The Footlab model makes Ural the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Veles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ural vs Veles?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Ural (1,898) and Veles (1,833).

Ural win49 %

Draw28 %

Veles win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ural have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Veles have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ural
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tekstilshchik(home)	2-0	First League
Aug 14, 2026	Rotor Volgograd(away)	1-1	First League
Aug 8, 2026	FC UFA(home)	3-0	First League
Aug 2, 2026	Ska-khabarovsk(away)	3-0	First League
Jul 26, 2026	Leningradets(away)	0-0	First League

Veles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Nizhny Novgorod(home)	3-2	First League
Aug 15, 2026	Ska-khabarovsk(away)	0-2	First League
Aug 9, 2026	Leningradets(home)	2-1	First League
Aug 3, 2026	Rotor Volgograd(home)	2-1	First League
Jul 26, 2026	Enisey(away)	1-4	First League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ural win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Veles win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 21, 2020	Veles 1-3 Ural	Cup

Last archived meeting: Veles vs Ural on Oct 21, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Ural score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Veles score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ural	1.5	0.6	8	3/15	6/15
Veles	1.3	1.3	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ural sit 3rd in First League (14 points from 7 matches) and Veles sit 2nd (15 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Veles	7	5	0	2	10	10	15
3	Ural	7	4	2	1	12	2	14

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ural vs Veles?: The Footlab model makes Ural the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Veles.
Where and when is Ural vs Veles played?: Ural vs Veles is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ekaterinburg Arena, in the First League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.