Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Petrovskiy, St. Petersburg
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Moskva the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Leningradets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?
Torpedo Moskva starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leningradets have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Torpedo Moskva have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 4-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Leningradets win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Torpedo Moskva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2024 | Leningradets 2-3 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Torpedo Moskva 2-3 Leningradets | First League |
Last archived meeting: Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva on May 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Leningradets score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Moskva score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leningradets | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Torpedo Moskva | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leningradets sit 16th in First League (6 points from 7 matches) and Torpedo Moskva sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Torpedo Moskva | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 16 | Leningradets | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Moskva the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Leningradets.
- Where and when is Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva played?
- Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Petrovskiy, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.