Fleetwood Town vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League TwoMatchday 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fleetwood Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Accrington ST?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Fleetwood Town (1,681) and Accrington ST (1,671).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fleetwood Town vs Accrington ST
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 4H. Neal
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 14L. McCann
- 10M. Helm
- 15A. Murphy
- 5F. Potter
- 6R. Bennett
- 26S. Rooney
- 1J. Lynch
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 16Aidan Borland
- 10Alex Henderson
- 33D. Tutonda
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 5F. Rawson
- 1L. Moulden
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleetwood Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Accrington ST have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fleetwood Town wins, 2 draws, 0 Accrington ST wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Accrington ST 1-2 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Fleetwood Town 2-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Fleetwood Town 2-2 Accrington ST | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Accrington ST 1-4 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Fleetwood Town 1-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Accrington ST 2-5 Fleetwood Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Fleetwood Town on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fleetwood Town sit 16th in League Two (17 points from 14 matches) and Accrington ST sit 9th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
A question about Fleetwood Town vs Accrington ST?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleetwood Town vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Fleetwood Town vs Accrington ST played?
- Fleetwood Town vs Accrington ST is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Highbury Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.