Walsall vs Northampton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Poundland Bescot Stadium, Walsall, West Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Walsall the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Walsall wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walsall vs Northampton?
Walsall starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,679).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Walsall vs Northampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Walsall
4-2-3-1- 19A. Pressley
- 11R. Smith
- 6S. Sprangler
- 15Isaac Moore
- 9A. Dallas
- 10L. Simper
- 3M. Hancock
- 4J. Connolly
- 25D. Skura
- 22E. Ahui
- 1J. Ward
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walsall have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Northampton have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-6 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Walsall win, 2 draws, 3 Northampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | Northampton 4-2 Walsall | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Walsall 0-1 Northampton | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Northampton 0-0 Walsall | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Walsall 1-0 Northampton | League Two |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Northampton 1-1 Walsall | League Two |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Walsall 0-1 Northampton | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Northampton vs Walsall on Jan 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Walsall score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall | 1.1 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Northampton | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walsall sit 6th in League Two (15 points from 9 matches) and Northampton sit 23rd (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Walsall vs Northampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walsall vs Northampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Walsall the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Walsall vs Northampton played?
- Walsall vs Northampton is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Poundland Bescot Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.